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Buy and Sell: Dota 2 Roster Lock edition

Buy and Sell: Dota 2 Roster Lock edition

With the Valve Roster lock coming to a close, this means that any teams that decide to make a roster shuffle after this period will have to go through the regional qualification process. As that is a crucible in and of itself, a majority of teams will try to avoid it and qualify through the DPC points instead. We have about six months left to go with multiple DPC point tournaments coming in so in this edition of Buy and Sell, I will pick 3 teams that you should buy into and 3 you should sell.

 

For those who are new to this concept, the idea is to buy into teams that will give you a profit on return. For instance, Team Liquid is the best team right now and I think they will continue to be the best. Therefore I will not buy them as I get no profit from buying into such a team. On the flipside if I think a good team is about to crash based and will do much worse in the coming months, I will put that team on the sell list to minimize loss. Without further ado here are my three to buy and three to sell.

 

Buy:

 

LGD

 

Roster:

 

Wang “Ame” Chunyu

Lu “SomnusM” Yao

Yang “Chalice” Shenyi

Xu “fy” Linsen

Yap “xNova” Jian Wei

 

Recent results:

2nd Starladder Invitational Season 4

 

This is the obvious pick. Prior to Starladder the two big Chinese teams to look out for were VG and Newbee. LGD’s performance speaks of real potential for this team to do damage on the world stage. The team has yet to prove it against the rest of the international competition so there is a big upside to this team. Also they have been killing it in the regional Chinese qualifiers meaning that they will get more chance to prove their skill relative to other chinese teams.

 

Big God

 

Roster:

 

Xu “BurNIng” Zhilei

Luo “Ferrari_430” Feichi

Shen “Newbie” Chao

Zhang “Xiao8” Ning

Li “chisbug” Chen

 

Recent Results: none

 

Xiao8 comes out of his log cabin for the 20th time, this time to show Newbie the ropes. That is the idea behind this project is that Newbie has been incredible on ladder and Xiao8 decided that he needed to be the leader to show him the world of the pros. Along the way he brought along legendary players BurNIng, Ferrari_430, and chisbug. Chisbug is the biggest question mark to me since he hasn’t been in professional play for over an year, but both BurNIng and Ferrari_430 are strong players. With Xiao8 as their leader I think this team is good for 1 or 2 tournament runs before Xiao8 decides it’s time to retire for the 21st time.

 

Fnatic

 

Jacky “EternaLEnVy” Mao

Abed “Abed” Yusp

Saahil “UNiVeRsE” Arora

Djardel “DJ” Mampusti

Johan “pieliedie” Astrom

 

This is an odd pick by me. I criticized the pick up as I don’t know if all three cores of the team will get enough resources to function properly, but EternaLEnVy has changed his farm hungry style and seems to have embraced comebacks in the game and in the gold. This should ensure there is enough farm to be spread around and the on paper talent is still fairly good even if pieliedie isn’t nearly as effective as he once was. On the other hand it’s EternaLEnVy and we all know that betting on an EternaLEnVy lineup is like admitting is like admitting you have a gambling problem. I still think this should team should do well, especially as they should be in the top 2 of the SEA Region and have plenty of opportunities to improve at LAN. Because of that I’m betting on the better half of the 50/50 this time.

 

Sell:

 

VG.J

 

Roster:

Liu “Sylar” Jiajun

Liu “Kamma” Chang

Zhou “Yang” Haiyang

Pan “Fade” Yi

Leong “ddc” Fat-meng

 

Recent Results:

Galaxy Battles – 1st

ESL ONE Genting – top 8

 

During the roster shuffle they kicked out Fan “Ayo” Tianyou and brought on ddc from LFY. Now ddc has proven himself to be a stable leader even if his individual skill is lacking. The essential problem I have with this roster is that I don’t see how they are going to go up. There is less skill here than there was on the other version of LFY and my problem with this team isn’t that they won’t be good. But they won’t be incredible and that’s what you need to get out of the Chinese qualifiers and get the DPC points. I can’t see them consistently winning these qualifiers and so I can’t see them getting enough DPC points to make it to TI off of that.

 

LFY

 

Roster:

 

Du “Monet” Peng

Xie “Super” Junhao

Khoo “Ohaiyo” Chong Xin

Yao “Yao” Zhengzheng

Tue “Ahfu” Soon Chuan

 

Recent Results: None

 

There are two problems with the change in the roster. The first is that I think Yao isn’t that much better of a leader than he ddc. The second is that they moved Yao to the 4 position and Ahfu to the 5. Ahfu has been this team’s best player for the last year so I can’t agree with that. There is an argument to be made about his hero pool not fitting into the meta, but I’m of the opinion you ride or die with star players like this. Also it’s not like Yao has ever been a spectacular individual player so putting him on the 4 seems wrong to me. The final piece to touch upon is the move from He “Inflame” Yongzheng to Ohaiyo. I don’t mind it as Inflame ran out of motivation and Ohaiyo is a solid offlaner. But the problems in the support structure are telling me I should sell on this roster before it bottoms out.

 

Na`Vi

 

Roster:

Vladislav “Crystallize” Krystanek

Danil “Dendi” Ishutin

Victor “GeneRaL” Nigrini

Ilya “Lil” Ilyuk

Nikola “LeBronDota” Popovic

 

Recent Results:

ESL ONE Genting – top 8

 

Among all of the team games I watch, Dota 2 is the one that loves its leaders the most. What I mean by that is that the leader of the team is arguably the most critical part of the entire roster. Success follows them around rather than the superstar players. That is my critique of the current Na`Vi. Plenty of talented and skilled players, but no one here has been a world class leader. This is what has kept CIS down for so long despite having a bunch of talented players. It wasn’t until Alexei “Solo” Berezin came along with a lineup that was willing to follow him that we saw a CIS team rise to the top of the scene again. With Akbar “SoNNeikO” Butaev out of the lineup, I can’t see how they can do better now with no experienced leader.

 

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